In a bold move to maintain order amid expected turmoil surrounding the general elections, Pakistan has suspended mobile phone services nationwide on Election Day. The decision, prompted by a recent surge in terrorist incidents, was announced by the nation’s interior ministry just before polling centers opened. The move comes on the heels of two bomb blasts targeting political leaders’ offices, resulting in at least 20 casualties.
As voters cast their ballots in this controversial election, where popular politician Imran Khan is sidelined due to corruption charges, the likely contenders to lead the country are Nawaz Sharif, his brother Shehbaz, or Bilawal Bhutto Zardari. The winner faces the daunting task of addressing economic challenges, including high debt and inflation, as the current IMF program approaches expiration in March.
The new prime minister must navigate complex diplomatic ties with the US and China, rising terrorism, and strained relations with neighboring countries. The military, with a significant influence over foreign policy and the economy, is expected to favor Nawaz Sharif. Investors have shown positivity in Pakistan’s markets, with potential economic reforms seen as crucial for an upgrade by S&P Global Ratings.
Political analysts predict a hung parliament and a coalition government as the most likely election outcome. Gallup Pakistan’s January survey indicates Nawaz Sharif gaining ground on Imran Khan. Bhutto, relying on his youth and family history, aims to appeal to the substantial youth demographic in the electorate.
Despite obstacles faced by Imran Khan’s party, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf, including the inability to field candidates under its name, the election’s outcome remains uncertain. Whoever assumes power must be cautious, as falling out of favor with the assertive military is a historical trend, with no prime minister completing a full five-year term in Pakistan’s history.