Close Menu

    Subscribe to Updates

    Get the latest creative news from FooBar about art, design and business.

    What's Hot

    Here are some reasons why this unpopular stock market technique might work now that trade agreements are being finalized.

    May 12, 2025

    How Bessent clarified the euphoric market reaction to the 115-point drop in U.S.-China tariffs

    May 12, 2025

    This is the difference in weight loss between Zepbound and Wegovy.

    May 12, 2025
    Facebook X (Twitter) Instagram
    🔴
    Trending
    • Here are some reasons why this unpopular stock market technique might work now that trade agreements are being finalized.
    • How Bessent clarified the euphoric market reaction to the 115-point drop in U.S.-China tariffs
    • This is the difference in weight loss between Zepbound and Wegovy.
    • Trump’s announcement that he will issue an executive order to reduce the cost of prescription drugs has put pressure on pharmaceutical stocks.
    • This week marks the release of the “most important consumer earnings report of the season.”
    • Goldman Sachs warns that stocks might collapse by about 20%. This is the trigger.
    • The majority of American businesses may be impacted by Trump’s proposal to raise taxes on affluent Americans.
    • Even if the trade conflict fades, Hartnett of Bank of America remains concerned about stocks at the start of the year.
    BourseWatch – Latest Daily Stock Market And Finance NewsBourseWatch – Latest Daily Stock Market And Finance News
    • HOME
    • TOOLS
      • CURRENCY CONVERTER
      • RANKING TABLE
      • STOCK SCREENER
      • FOREX HEATMAP
      • ECONOMIC CALENDER
      • REAL-TIME CHART
      • FOREX SUMMARY
    • MARKET
      1. COMMODITIES
      2. REAL ESTATE
      3. CRYPTO CURRENCIES
      4. CURRENCY / FOREX
      5. ETF / RTF
      6. EQUITIES
      7. INDEXES
      8. View All

      Oil Approaches $80 a Barrel Amid Market Strength Indicators

      March 3, 2025

      Gold may surpass $3,000, but you’re overpaying at these prices.

      February 21, 2025

      In September’s Commodities Rise, Silver Stands Out as the Big Winner

      September 29, 2024

      Gold is “a hedge against everything that could happen next.” A Fed ruling is coming up

      September 14, 2024

      Purchasing a home without a home appraisal? Start by reading this.

      May 7, 2025

      As homeowners find it difficult to sell, the housing market stagnates: “We’re really bleeding.”

      April 25, 2025

      Due to the numerous economic uncertainties they face, distressed homebuyers are leaving the real estate market.

      April 25, 2025

      Three dubious strategies from the 2008 housing crisis may be returning.

      April 16, 2025

      Coinbase expects lower subscription revenue. A lot more went wrong for the crypto exchange.

      May 9, 2025

      Bitcoin and stocks rise together to reach $100,000 once more as market euphoria returns.

      May 9, 2025

      Ether and Bitcoin are rising. MicroStrategy, China Trade Hope, and Other Factors Influencing Cryptocurrencies.

      May 1, 2025

      FTX Liquidates Cryptocurrency Holdings to Settle Debts and Reimburse Customers Amid Ongoing Legal Battles

      April 6, 2025

      According to a Goldman research, this is the point at which the 10-year Treasury yield poses a “clear problem” for equities.

      May 3, 2024

      These ETFs guard against “black swan” stock market events, such as the one we just witnessed.

      April 3, 2025

      The Muni market is “shifting in favor of ETFs.” What yields and hazards are involved?

      February 19, 2025

      The S&P 500 has too many tech stocks. This different ETF keeps beating it.

      October 6, 2024

      This way of investing in dividend stocks can help you spread out your exposure to S&P 500 index funds.

      August 30, 2024

      Challenges for Tech Giants: Microsoft, Google, and AMD Stocks Take a Hit Despite Strong Earnings

      June 22, 2024

      ECB’s Villeroy Affirms: Oil Uncertainty No Barrier to June Rate Cut

      April 29, 2024

      Federal Reserve’s Move Leaves Regional Banks in a Quandary for 2024

      April 29, 2024

      Israel’s Credit Rating Takes a Dive: S&P Warns of Military Escalation with Iran

      April 29, 2024

      Here are some reasons why this unpopular stock market technique might work now that trade agreements are being finalized.

      May 12, 2025

      How Bessent clarified the euphoric market reaction to the 115-point drop in U.S.-China tariffs

      May 12, 2025

      Goldman Sachs warns that stocks might collapse by about 20%. This is the trigger.

      May 9, 2025

      The majority of American businesses may be impacted by Trump’s proposal to raise taxes on affluent Americans.

      May 9, 2025
    • ECONOMY
      1. INTEREST RATE
      2. View All

      A watchdog group says the IRS has only made “limited progress” in figuring out how often people making less than $400,000 are audited.

      September 3, 2024

      There is a “ticking tax time bomb” in your 401(k) and IRA. An expert says you should go all-in on Roths instead.

      August 21, 2024

      Like Trump, Kamala Harris wants to keep tip taxes low. Some people think the idea is “very silly,” and it doesn’t matter who comes up with it.

      August 19, 2024

      When Is the Best Time to Change a Roth IRA? Make the Most of This Tax-Smart Move

      August 12, 2024

      Trump’s announcement that he will issue an executive order to reduce the cost of prescription drugs has put pressure on pharmaceutical stocks.

      May 12, 2025

      Trump frequently refers to unilateral “deals.” A Goldman economist cautions that some tariffs might increase.

      May 9, 2025

      The U.S. goods trade gap reaches a record high as companies try to evade Trump’s tariffs.

      April 30, 2025

      Canadian Musicians Face U.S. Tour Challenges in Trump Era

      April 30, 2025
    • NEWS
      1. ALL NEWS
      2. COMPANIES
      3. CURRENCY FOREX
      4. INDEXES
      5. View All

      Trump’s 10% Tariff Plan Echoes Nixon’s 1971 Strategy: A Closer Look at the Historical Precedent

      April 6, 2025

      Groundbreaking Partnership: Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi Unveils Revolutionary Hydropower and Irrigation Venture in Sri Lanka

      April 2, 2025

      Binance Bombshell: Founder Faces 36 Months in U.S. Jail for Money Laundering Violations

      April 2, 2025

      Polestar’s Strategic Shift: US Plant to Supply Europe Amid Escalating EU-China Strife

      April 2, 2025

      This is the difference in weight loss between Zepbound and Wegovy.

      May 12, 2025

      This week marks the release of the “most important consumer earnings report of the season.”

      May 12, 2025

      That large order for a Boeing aircraft? 32 of its aircraft have been ordered by IAG, the operator of British Airways.

      May 9, 2025

      Would video game developers be impacted by a Trump tariff on films made abroad?

      May 7, 2025

      China Securities Regulator Halts Restricted Share Lending in Move to Stabilize Stock Markets

      August 14, 2024

      Global Markets Wobble as China’s Evergrande Faces Liquidation, Federal Reserve Meeting Looms

      June 22, 2024

      China’s Stock Slump and Currency Plunge Cloud Asia’s Rate Cut Optimism

      March 22, 2024

      Mexican Peso Ascends to Unprecedented Heights, Instilling Fear in Investors

      March 15, 2024

      Traders Anticipate ‘Once-in-a-Generation’ Opportunity in Emerging Markets as Federal Reserve Hints at Rate Cuts

      April 6, 2025

      LSEG Shareholders Face Showdown: Vote on Doubling CEO’s Potential Pay

      April 2, 2025

      Critical Week for Stock Market as $10 Trillion in Big Tech Earnings Shape S&P 500’s Fate

      March 2, 2025

      Asian Markets Surge Despite Global Uncertainties; Beijing’s Stimulus Measures Boost Investor Confidence

      March 2, 2025

      This is the difference in weight loss between Zepbound and Wegovy.

      May 12, 2025

      This week marks the release of the “most important consumer earnings report of the season.”

      May 12, 2025

      That large order for a Boeing aircraft? 32 of its aircraft have been ordered by IAG, the operator of British Airways.

      May 9, 2025

      People are delaying their travel plans till the very last minute. Here are some examples of when it can work and when it can go wrong.

      May 9, 2025
    • LIST & RANKING

      The force behind the recent surge in stocks is Big Tech, not the Fed. What investors should know is as follows.

      June 16, 2024

      Top 25 Independent Advisors

      February 27, 2024

      The Best Online Brokers

      January 18, 2024

      The Most Profitable Businesses

      January 18, 2024

      The top 50 Canadian Firm

      January 18, 2024
    Donate
    BourseWatch – Latest Daily Stock Market And Finance NewsBourseWatch – Latest Daily Stock Market And Finance News
    Home » As important elections approach, investing based on polls is a “dangerous strategy,” as this chart shows.
    Market

    As important elections approach, investing based on polls is a “dangerous strategy,” as this chart shows.

    ‘Recent election surprises in Mexico, India, and the European Union have underscored the volatility that can arise from unforeseen political outcomes,’ says chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management
    June 24, 2024Updated:June 24, 2024No Comments
    Facebook Twitter Pinterest LinkedIn WhatsApp Reddit Tumblr Email
    main qimg c5923494326622d23d97795a7051036d
    Share
    Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Pinterest Email

    Seema Shah of Principal Asset Management says investors shouldn’t make “hasty” changes to their portfolios based on predictions for upcoming elections. This is because recent political surprises in France and other countries caused market losses.

    Shah, chief global strategist at Principal, said in a note, “Recent election surprises in Mexico, India, and the European Union have shown how volatile things can become when political outcomes aren’t expected.” “These events show how dangerous it is to base investment decisions on polls taken before an election, since unexpected results can quickly upset stock markets and currencies.”

    In the beginning of the month, stocks in Mexico, India, and France all fell after unexpected election results, as shown in a chart in Shah’s note.

    im 34508884

    MAJOR MANAGEMENT OF ASSETS

    “Investors should put resilience first,” she said about the upcoming elections.

    It was expected that far-right parties would do well in the recent European Union parliamentary elections. However, Shah wrote, it was not expected that French President Emmanuel Macron would call early elections in France after his party lost in the EU elections. “Markets worry that the outcome could lead to policy paralysis and a delay in fiscal consolidation,” she said.

    The Associated Press says that there will be two rounds of voting in France’s parliamentary elections, on June 30 and July 7.

    FactSet data show that shares of the iShares MSCI France ETF EWQ have dropped a little more than 7% so far this month. This is an exchange-traded fund that follows an index of stocks in the country. So far this year, the fund is down 1.1%.

    Besides European politics, Narendra Modi, the prime minister of India, was re-elected earlier this month. However, Shah wrote, “rather than winning by a landslide, Modi’s BJP party unexpectedly lost its outright majority, casting doubt on its ability to push forward with important reforms.”

    The iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA), which tracks Indian stocks, is up about 13% so far this year as of Monday. However, the fund fell earlier this month, dropping 6.1% on June 4 as investors tried to figure out what the election results meant.

    “The Morena party won the election with an unexpected landslide victory,” Shah said about the recent election in Mexico. “This has raised concerns that the party may change Mexico’s constitution and may show less fiscal discipline.”

    FactSet data shows that shares of the iShares MSCI Mexico ETF EWW are down more than 11% so far in June. This comes after taking a big hit in the first week of the month. In 2024, the fund has lost 15.1% of its value.

    “The big one”

    “In the next few months, there will be more elections, including the big one in the US,” Shah said. “There will also be elections in France, the UK, Japan!”

    An AP report says that there will be a national election in the U.K. on July 4.

    In November, people will vote for president in the United States. Trump and Biden are set to have their first debate on June 27. Biden is President and Trump is former President.

    As the last few elections have shown, shocks on election night are common. Shah said, “Changing your portfolio allocation to bet on who is most likely to win is a risky strategy.”

    So far this year, the U.S. stock market is up. The S&P 500 index SPX has gone up more than 14% through Monday. Dow Jones Market Data says that the index ended 0.7% below its all-time high on June 18.

    Share. Facebook Twitter Pinterest LinkedIn Tumblr Telegram Email

    Related Posts

    Here are some reasons why this unpopular stock market technique might work now that trade agreements are being finalized.

    May 12, 2025

    How Bessent clarified the euphoric market reaction to the 115-point drop in U.S.-China tariffs

    May 12, 2025

    Goldman Sachs warns that stocks might collapse by about 20%. This is the trigger.

    May 9, 2025
    Leave A Reply Cancel Reply

    Top Posts

    Aeries Technology: A Global Professional Services Leader in Business Transformation

    June 10, 2024

    As Christmas sales break records, stock buybacks soar.

    December 5, 2024

    These other stocks, along with Coinbase and Block, could join the S&P 500 in the next shake-up.

    December 6, 2024

    Why Powell and the Fed should stop lowering interest rates in December

    December 7, 2024
    Don't Miss
    Market

    Here are some reasons why this unpopular stock market technique might work now that trade agreements are being finalized.

    May 12, 2025

    levies between the United States and China were both significantly reduced about a month after…

    How Bessent clarified the euphoric market reaction to the 115-point drop in U.S.-China tariffs

    May 12, 2025

    This is the difference in weight loss between Zepbound and Wegovy.

    May 12, 2025

    Trump’s announcement that he will issue an executive order to reduce the cost of prescription drugs has put pressure on pharmaceutical stocks.

    May 12, 2025
    Stay In Touch
    • Facebook
    • Instagram

    Subscribe to Updates

    Get the latest Update

    Facebook Twitter Instagram

    BourseWatch

    • All News
    • Economy
    • List & Ranking
    • Market
    • News

    Recent Post

    • im 24678380
      Here are some reasons why this unpopular stock market technique might work now that trade agreements are being finalized.
    • im 51745889
      How Bessent clarified the euphoric market reaction to the 115-point drop in U.S.-China tariffs
    • im 38580764
      This is the difference in weight loss between Zepbound and Wegovy.

    Subscribe to Updates

    Get the latest creative news from BourseWatch

    © Boursewatch. Designed by Asad Rizvi

    • Privacy Policy
    • Terms
    • Contact Us

    Type above and press Enter to search. Press Esc to cancel.